Wednesday, December 31, 2008

My top 10 economic predictions

All this doom & gloom about the continued negative economic indicators for 2009 has got me feeling quite rebellious.

Maybe I live in a world of speedboats, waverunners, acres of green grass for golfing, surrounded by majestic white mountains full of pure powder bliss on my snowboard. But I don't care damnit. If I want to see leprechauns running down airport terminals in Dublin (which I REALLY did see that once..) and have a scrumptious hot falafel stand around the corner from my house.. then it's going to happen, whether in my imagination or not.

Of course I'm well aware of the current global situation. I do care, and I do want to help & give back in any way possible to positively impact others... BUT, seriously, I'm among many, sick of the negativity and letting my emotions subscribe to the media. I've actually been pretty good at that for quite some time now.

So with out further ado... regardless of what the media wants to report, and acknowledging all disregard to current indicators.. here is MY Top Ten Economic Predictions for 2009

1. 2009 will start the year in global recession with all of the major economies of the world in simultaneous economic contractions including the U.S., the Eurozone, Great Britain, Japan, and China, as well as a number of smaller economies and emerging markets. Once everyone realizes that these predictions happen every year, they'll all get on with their work & head to the bar to spend loads of cash, hence the recession is over.. or atleast everyone's too drunk to realize it's not.


2. The U.S. Bond index continues going crazy, confusing investors & lenders & consumers to the point of going to the bar drinking their mortgage money away.

3. U.S. unemployment increases toward and possibly exceeds double digits, while the government begins going bankrupt, due to all the "unemployed" people raking in thousands of dollars every month from working online. Offshore accounts abound.

4. Large increases in the number of bankruptcies, especially among retailers, auto related companies, and small businesses. Significant increases in failures of small to medium sized banks. Yet the economy booms due to offshore accounts ballooning, and spending hitting an all time peak in US History.

5. Tall people get paid more, because they are the only ones that actually intimidate the Chinese.

6. Economic Forecasts change predictions every month, sending everyone back to the bars across the globe to watch football & Soccer. The World is a much happier place. Imported Tequilla & Vodka prices plummet, while supply & demand sky rocket. Mexico & Panama are headed toward Super power status.

7. Everyone's house is in threat of loss... to the point that no one does anything about it. The average consumer continues to either refinance or remodify the terms of their loan until we realize that no one is paying for their mortgage. So we give everyone a job to collect on these payments.. in return allowing everyone to pay themselves.

8. Consumer credit further restricted by lenders and late payments and defaults on
credit cards rise sharply. So credit card companies tank, and the world of credit is restructered and revoked temporairily, while people in America learn to spend what they actually have. A new fangled idea in the states has emerged.

9. The Federal Reserve keeps interest rates just above zero, so that everyone has more money to spend at the bar.

10. Worries about falling prices earlier in the year turn to realization that there is no science to economics... but complete BS & Philibustering/speculation.

Chicks- Check out these books

Just a quickie:

As a lover of all books, fashion & purses, cupid shot an arrow through my heart when I spied this magical link on twitter the other day.
These old books - turned handbags are another great accessory that could be marketed in all kinds of boutiques. I could just see these at places like Three Monkey's, down in NW Portland, Gypsy Chic, Moxie or Local 35. I wonder if Target would jump on the band wagon? But then you know, they wouldn't bother using books, they'd just mass produce fake handbags from made to look like old books.

I better get an authentic one before that happens right?

http://vimeo.com/2657688

For some reason the video wouldn't embed correctly... so you can check them out at the above link, or the title to the blog, will take you to the website. I'll try to see if I can get the correct code later.

Friday, December 12, 2008

Arguments, hypocrites & Pettiness

Wow-
I've been a fan of Tim Ferriss's book The Four Hour Work Week, along with his blog.
I don't "live by" his advice. I think he has some very fresh and "clever" ideas. Some of them are recycled, painted new.. but at least he takes the time to analyze, test share.
I think it's important to read as much as possible, and make your own educated decisions on how to go on about your business in a day to day fashion.

I hadn't looked at Ferriss's blog for quite awhile, and when searching for it, I came across this "Texas start-up blog", completely bashing Ferriss and actually accusing him of "ruining lives"

For maturity sake, where is the real critical dialogue? OHMYGOD! Are you serious I thought? This is another negative person/victim, blaming someone else for the lack of accountability people carry upon themselves.

Seriously, have you ever been given advice, that you KNOW won't work for your exact situation, but figured you'd test it anyway? Right? How on earth is it another persons fault that you decided to FOLLOW the advice that you know wasn't right for you, or that it just didn't make sense or work out? Accountability people. Just like anything in life. School, work, relationships. Trial & Error. Every mistake leads to a success. I just think it's hilarious when you have people taking the time to "bash" others for stepping outside of the box, regardless of if it's right or wrong. Annnnnd who is anyone to JUDGE. I get really passionate about that topic, if you haven't noticed from my previous blogs. When one is striving for greatness, who gave anyone else the right to judge your life. Why not take a look at yourself, and what you could be doing better? Go research or learn something valuable to add depth your life.

I don't think that everyone could follow Ferriss's advice down to a "T" and have it work. For one thing.. I'm a chick (Ding ding.. first inclination that each person needs to mold information to fit for them.. HELLO) If anything I give Kudo's to Ferris for sharing his tests, theories and ideas. What works for me doesn't always work for all situations (even strikingly similar ones).

Here is an excerpt from this Texas Start-up blog (ok.. I'm going to be a COMPLETE hypocrite here for a second and laugh at the fact that it's a Texas start up.. I mean the most arrogant state in the country...oops did I just say that? me & my pettiness... damn.)
"I think The Four Hour Work Week is, at its core, a perfect example of what is wrong with America today....We as American’s need to take a long hard look at ourselves and figure out why we were put here on earth. Why were we given all of these advantages? Luke 12:48 commands, “To whom much is given, much is expected.” Just as ‘hard work’ is a virtue, laziness is one of the seven deadly sins. Maybe you can get everyone else to do you work (and play), but just maybe you were put on this earth for a higher purpose. Maybe the act of hard work is an end to itself? I am not sure why, but something about Timothy’s ideas about work scare me..... (Savage-girl response: Ok REALLY? Lets take a critical look at what this texas blogger is saying... that only "hard work" <-- as in time consuming labor? is what is expected out of us? Do you think Tim Ferris is telling everyone to cut down to a 4-hour work week, in order to be lazy and sit around with that extra 36 hours?) Has he not seen the FUNDRAISING that has been developed with Ferriss's extra amount of time, the physical endurance tests he's given himself, the brain teasers, the challenges, the research, the writing... all of these things that Ferriss and many others can now do with their OWN time. How are those things not worthy in "God's" eyese. How is that not a worthy expectation for another human to spend time, 1) having fun with life, 2) helping others seek & learn, & 3) challenging themselves & others for the greater good? Has he really read the entire book and followed any of the blogs? Our Texan goes on to complain...
"Take for example how Tim uses a team in India to ‘manage his love life, arranging more than 30 dates with 30 different women in 2 days. As Tim Warren points out, “Doesn’t that seem like an arrogant and grimly functional approach to dating?” Really? Are we really to busy to screen and schedule dates? Come on."

HA .. so what? Does this person not realize that there is an "Eastern" culture outside of the US, which flourishes with arranged marriages? Surprisingly many of them work.. well. What is so arrogant about trying to find a match this way, when the old western "tried and true" of romance has not worked for him?
To be honest. I don't think I would approach romance in this way, but I can't knock it. I actually had a friend join Match.com 3 different times over the course of 2 years. She went on nearly 200 dates. She is very attractive, educated, funny, professional etc... and she ended up meeting her new husband this way, and married by age 30. That was her plan. She is truly happy, and who am I to judge? What is the difference between having a team of people in India set this type of matchmaking up, or using a system like E-Harmony or match?
All I can say is, if you're going to blog to bash... think about what you are bashing. Is it really worth the effort? or could you have spent the time in a more positive and VALUABLE state of mind to continue bettering yourself?

Tuesday, November 18, 2008

If my life is as it should be...

And no one else is going to stand in judgement of it... then why do I?

Oh sociologically we could analyze that all day long. I don't want to act all "bourgeois" and pretend I have nothing better to do than make sure I appear as though I'm one of those ultra trendy, organically clothed, black coffee drinking deep thinkers, who scoffs at the dinginess that so poignantly surrounds my soul at times... (whhhhaaat?)

Ha ha, I'm such a hypocrite for that statement aren't I?

Jeez, my point is pondering "The Question" you know the one.. the question of life. My life.. (or your life.. we are human and ofcourse inherently will think of ourselves first).

I read an interesting article recently by Po Bronson, writer for the magazine Fast Company.
Po ended up interviewing 900 "ordinary" people who he says "dared to be honest with themselves" and for 2 years spent a vast amount of time with the incredible 70 that he narrowed down to what he believes is humans... living their life with purpose (well, my words, not his..which if you want to check out the article go here .

The Question (remember, about your life?) is what stirred Bronson into this search, he gained some pretty amazing insight, and I love that he shares it with his readers in such a worldly, yet earnest style. It does remind me of Napolean Hill's search, and scientific "lab" type study of the wealthiest people in the world. The difference this time is that Bronson is trying to take "money" out of the equation as a driving force. I wonder how he came up with his criteria for narrowing down the 900 to 70, and if he chose virtues that he was moved by, or that were strictly self apparent in life style.

Either way it got me thinking, and that was the goal, right?

So back to my question.. why do I judge myself, even though I've gotten past ( or have I.. do I dare even ask?) the idea of others judging me? I suppose I couldn't completely. Wouldn't that be impossible? I strive for it... but I get bored and I know that what constantly runs through my head is "I don't want to give the wrong impression". What impression is that exactly?
That I'm not strong?
That I'm not Smart?
I'm not witty?
I'm not a leader?
I'm not, I'm not I'm not... YUCK....

No- I have changed my thinking over the years and I am extremely positive. I am a leader, I am passionate, I love to connect with people and help them figure out "The Question" for themselves... but have I even come CLOSE to answering it myself?
I think this blog is not just about leaving my old ideas of career behind and taking risks... it really is about transparency... evolving and really figuring out what the heck I'm doing here. LOL
You're all thinking "JOIN THE CLUB" right?

Eh.. we're all the same in so many ways huh? I have to really question sometimes if making a huge impact IS was I really have always wanted. I thought it was, but is that because I'm a smart girl who cares about people... and it sounds good? Or is it true? What part is true and to what extent, with out becoming so self indulgent, or even selfless that I become a cliche?

Ahh- fun questions to ponder. I feel like I'm 14 years old again.

I'll have to get back on this one, for now it's late and I don't have the energy.

Thursday, October 30, 2008

Fashionista...

One of my friends/ex colleague, calls me up now & again in need of a fashionista to go shopping with him. He cares about appearances... but is also somewhat of a mama's boy who rely's on a women's opinion to make sure he's dressed well for the other ladies ; )

This last trip was about an hour an a half long. So after about 7 or 8 pair jeans, a small stack of shirts and jackets... our guy walked out a happy man, with a few new key essentials. I like helping my friend out because he's a good listener. He does have somewhat his own sense of style, and it gives me good feedback for what he likes... but he doesn't argue too many styles, he's willing to try something out. He's basically one of the best guys to shop for, plus he doesn't have a difficult body type. For being a man that is definately a few years older than what he looks like, I'd say he's one lucky SOB. All the ladies could wish their boyfriends or husbands were this easy.

I took the ultimate compliment when a mutual colleague of ours made a comment to me last week that he was surprised at how stylish my friend was on casual days, and that he really liked his jeans. (yes I got him to finally wear the tight Buffalo ones...hee hee)

WHOO HOO! People have been noticing! I glowed like a proud teacher... ahh..

Shopping for someone else, and giving them your undivided attention, can take a toll on you after awhile. I realized that I need to CHARGE for this!

My friend & I came up with $50 per hour and $80 for 2 hours.
I have no idea if anyone would actually take me up on this... but I figure, why not? I've had multiple people ask me to go shopping with them, to help pick out clothes. It's kinda fun, like dressing up your dolls when you're a kid... but it's also time consuming, which is something I don't have plenty of. So I'm going to run some ads on craigs list and see if there are any biters?
Gosh, if I were paid to do this... I would LOVE it, and I'm sure the person I'd be dressing would as well!

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

New day again.. been awhile?

I'm convincing myself to be super positive. Ever since I left my "safety net" or back-up plan called banking over a year ago... (which some of you can go back to that original post last year...)

I have had such a positive and scary experience all at once. It feels sort of like the end of the begining, if that makes any sense at all?

A quick background on me....(for those who don't want to have to go back through the archive).

I put myself through college working in banking.. always considered that my back up, but had much loftier goals than that. Most of it was about having an impact on a lot of people.. through a campaign that I believed in, or some miracle company I was going to dream up. Who knows. I had no idea. I did get on the right track and landed an AMAZING internship.. and later job in the House of Commons, Parliament UK. This was after the war had started, though, and our American dollar was really suffering in London. On a starving post grad student's salary.. and sometimes NO salary, I could no longer afford my blissful lifestyle in London : (A pretty good job offer landed in my lap back in Portland.. and that's where the real fun/chaoticness started. After a whirlwind romance with a charming hawaiian looking surfer boy, ended up with me crying the day of my Buddhist/Cambodian wedding, whilist 4 months pregnant, I thought to myself.. THIS IS NOT WHERE I was headed a year ago!!! What happened to me?!

Ahh, but I made a valiant effort, even tied myself down to a mortgage... only to realize after a "hi-five" to my surfing "buddhist hubbie" (although we never made it legal) that we were done playing house... financially it was crushing to separate, but for the emotional and mental well being of the 3 of us we knew it was the wisest decision. 2 years later, we are great friends, that co-parent as a team with common goals, a HAPPY, loving, disciplined and beautiful little 4 year old. I look at her in awe everyday over her resiliance, capabilities, innocence and beauty of a half asian/irish wee one.

So here I am today... Going back for my Master's of Urban Planning, with an emphasis in either energy or real estate development. I am amidst trying to launch another company with brilliant partners (doctor, NIKE/Intel software developers, and a advisor who worked on the Russian Missile crisis negotiations during the Regan administration, and has founded or advised other companies listed on NYSE).I am nothing but excited over the experience... My master's will relate to my new company's endeavors- but ofcourse will serve as a back up plan once again, in case I need to actually get a day job again.

Until then... I am working like everyone else on here, for multiple sources of income and looking past just Financial Stability (which MUST occur sooner than later!) in order for my "cup runeth over" I feel like I can be the best advocate, leader, listener, motivater, friend, business partner, family member, mother when I have more than enough to share with and inspire others...

Feel free to contact me with any tips or your own experience! I am really looking forward to my new path... one that I've been eyeing and dancing around for awhile, attempting to walk down.. but jumping off here and there, out of fear. This time I'm staying and I'm sure it'll be worth it.